Bonner SC 1-0 Rödinghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.4pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bonner SC EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.31/2.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-3% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bonner SC
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Rödinghausen
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2022 Bonner SC Bonner SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
13.11.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 1-0 HT 1-0 Bonner SC Bonner SC ALMBÖL
17.04.2021 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 0-0 HT 0-0 Bonner SC Bonner SC ALMBÖL
14.11.2020 Bonner SC Bonner SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen ALMBÖL
09.11.2019 Rödinghausen Rödinghausen 2-1 HT 2-0 Bonner SC Bonner SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bonner SC vs Rödinghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bonner SC edged past Rödinghausen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rödinghausen at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rödinghausen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Bonner SC and 0.80 for Rödinghausen.

What was the final score of Bonner SC vs Rödinghausen?

Bonner SC 1-0 Rödinghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bonner SC vs Rödinghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rödinghausen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bonner SC 35%, draw 20%, Rödinghausen 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rödinghausen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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