Almagro 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Sep 2025

Almagro
0-1 HT 0-1
Ferro Carril Oeste
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒21:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Almagro vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.33
No
64%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.0pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.4pp
36%
BTTS Yes
39%
-2.4pp
64%
BTTS No
61%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Almagro v Ferro Carril Oeste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almagro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -13%
1.02/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.29
-8% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.6

Almagro vs Ferro Carril Oeste Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almagro
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-1 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
12.10.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
15.11.2021 Almagro Almagro 2-3 HT 1-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
18.07.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 1-2 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Almagro vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste nicked a narrow win over Almagro 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ferro Carril Oeste found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Almagro and 1.75 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Almagro vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Almagro 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almagro vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almagro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Almagro 37%, draw 34%, Ferro Carril Oeste 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Almagro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Almagro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
20 Sep 2025
19:10 Atletico Atlanta vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
21:30 San Miguel vs Patronato Analysis →
21:30 Colegiales vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis →
21:30 Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu Analysis →
23:10 Temperley vs Estudiantes Caseros Analysis →
23:30 Gimnasia Mendoza vs San Telmo Analysis →