Arsenal Sarandi 1-2 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.18
Away
33%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.9pp
21%
Draw
28%
-6.8pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+11.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.9pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 24%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.26/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.32
+0% / +107% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Sarandi
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
2 Corners 4
18.05.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
07.07.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi ARJPBN
18.02.2024 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu edged past Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Arsenal Sarandi at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Arsenal Sarandi and 0.67 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu?

Arsenal Sarandi 1-2 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Sarandi vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Sarandi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Sarandi 46%, draw 21%, Deportivo Maipu 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Arsenal Sarandi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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