Aurora 1-2 Real Tomayapo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
65%
-4.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aurora EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -6%
1.78/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.50
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.8 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aurora
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Real Tomayapo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.23 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
267 Passes 259
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 0-0 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
14.12.2024 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 1-1 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
27.08.2024 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
24.08.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
11.04.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
18.10.2021 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aurora
1-2
AWAY Real Tomayapo
1.91 xG 1.81
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
382 Passes 260
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aurora vs Real Tomayapo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo nicked a narrow win over Aurora 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Aurora carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Aurora had 60% of the ball to Real Tomayapo's 40%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.91 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aurora and 1.33 for Real Tomayapo.

What was the final score of Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?

Aurora 1-2 Real Tomayapo in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aurora vs Real Tomayapo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aurora win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aurora 60%, draw 23%, Real Tomayapo 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aurora) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aurora) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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