Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.56
No
40%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
15%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.2pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+0.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-0.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.69/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.40
-15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
22.0 Crosses 15.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.98 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
215 Passes 323
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-1 HT 2-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
14.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
26.08.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-2 HT 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
11.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
05.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
21.05.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2-2
AWAY Nacional Potosi
3.21 xG 0.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
268 Passes 163
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero and Nacional Potosi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Oriente Petrolero carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 59% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 41%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 3.21 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 2.83 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 58%, draw 21%, Nacional Potosi 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
20 Sep 2025
02:00 Aurora vs Real Tomayapo Analysis →
18:00 Bolivar vs ABB Analysis →