Midtjylland 2-0 Viborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.3
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.69
6+ Goals
13%
6.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
2.2
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
4.59
X/2
8%
8.94
X/X
10%
6.23
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.25
2/2
8%
6.08
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.25 — our 7% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.4pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.0pp
21%
Away Win
24%
-2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.1pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Viborg EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
2.11/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
+33% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
468 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 78%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
18.8 Crosses 16.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Viborg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.81 xG 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
292 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
30 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
29.09.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
04.12.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-1 HT 2-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
15.09.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
09.06.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.02.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-4 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland
2-0
AWAY Viborg
1.77 xG 0.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
278 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 12
21 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Viborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland saw off Viborg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Midtjylland as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Midtjylland had 49% of the ball to Viborg's 51%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.77 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Midtjylland and 0.83 for Viborg.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Viborg?

Midtjylland 2-0 Viborg in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Viborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 57%, draw 22%, Viborg 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Midtjylland) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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