Viborg 1-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.4
2-3 Goals
39%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.6
1/2
9%
23.15
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
13%
7.07
X/2
13%
5.0
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
20%
2.82
2/X
9%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +15%
1.55/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.23
+4% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -2%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
16.1 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.17 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
355 Passes 290
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
04.12.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 5-1 HT 2-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
15.09.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
09.06.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.02.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-4 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
10.11.2022 Viborg Viborg 3-1 HT 3-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-0
AWAY Midtjylland
2.15 xG 1.59
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 10
405 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg squeezed past Midtjylland 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viborg had 52% of the ball to Midtjylland's 48%, shots finished 15-16, expected goals 2.15 to 1.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Viborg and 2.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Midtjylland?

Viborg 1-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Viborg 33%, draw 25%, Midtjylland 42%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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