Brondby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.03
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.8
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
12.25
X/1
11%
4.91
X/2
7%
7.22
X/X
9%
4.93
2/1
10%
23.6
2/2
18%
4.85
2/X
11%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.49/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.44
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
19.4 Crosses 14.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.51 xG 1.28
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
427 Passes 503
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
24 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 HT 4-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
15.05.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
28.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
29.10.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
06.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
10.04.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
1-1
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.44 xG 0.88
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
328 Passes 702
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brondby vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby and FC Nordsjaelland couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brondby had 34% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 66%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.44 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brondby and 1.83 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Brondby 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brondby 42%, draw 26%, FC Nordsjaelland 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Under 2.5
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