FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.21
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.66
1/2
10%
24.45
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.93
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
11%
5.53
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
19%
3.3
2/X
8%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
37%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.67/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.60
+14% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
16.0 Crosses 16.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Brondby
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 1.53
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
466 Passes 415
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.05.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
28.04.2024 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
29.10.2023 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 1-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
06.08.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
10.04.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
19.03.2023 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 0-1 Brondby Brondby DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
4-1
AWAY Brondby
1.28 xG 0.88
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
644 Passes 456
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
25 Box Touches 20
7 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland ran out comfortable winners over Brondby 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day FC Nordsjaelland made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 57% of the ball to Brondby's 43%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.28 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 1.17 for Brondby.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

FC Nordsjaelland 4-1 Brondby in the Denmark - Süperlig on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 33%, draw 28%, Brondby 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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