AGF Aarhus 1-1 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.67
Over 2.5
53%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.88
No
45%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
26%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.04
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
14.45
X/1
9%
5.37
X/2
17%
5.02
X/X
9%
4.25
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
16%
3.68
2/X
6%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
51%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.45/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.37
+15% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.7 Crosses 14.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kopenhag
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.32 xG 2.10
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
326 Passes 483
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-2 HT 1-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
21.05.2024 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-2 HT 3-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
28.04.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 3-2 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
03.12.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-2 HT 0-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
08.10.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-1 HT 0-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
21.05.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 4-3 HT 2-2 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus and Kopenhag shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kopenhag led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for AGF Aarhus and 2.33 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs Kopenhag?

AGF Aarhus 1-1 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 37%, draw 24%, Kopenhag 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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