PSG (K) 5-2 FC Nantes (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.33
Draw
17%
4.81
Away
10%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
57%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
2%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
71%
+1.8pp
17%
Draw
18%
-0.9pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.3pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nantes (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.79/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.48
+49% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.3 Crosses 16.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.89 xG 0.77
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
452 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 6
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 0
12.10.2024 FC Nantes (K) FC Nantes (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
5-2
AWAY FC Nantes (K)
2.38 xG 0.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
24 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
313 Passes 275
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs FC Nantes (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) swept aside FC Nantes (K) 5-2. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, PSG (K) had 52% of the ball to FC Nantes (K)'s 48%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 2.38 to 0.65.

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

PSG (K) 5-2 FC Nantes (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs FC Nantes (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 73%, draw 17%, FC Nantes (K) 10%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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