Stellenbosch FC 0-1 Richards Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.36
Over 2.5
32%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.75
No
61%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
1.77
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
6.97
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.9pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
32%
+6.5pp
61%
BTTS No
68%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stellenbosch FC EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Richards Bay EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.38/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.12
-3% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
22.5 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stellenbosch FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Richards Bay
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
450 Passes 244
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2025 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
26.10.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-0 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
25.05.2024 Richards Bay Richards Bay 2-1 HT 2-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
02.12.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 0-3 HT 0-0 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFLK
07.11.2023 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Richards Bay Richards Bay GAFPSL
25.02.2023 Richards Bay Richards Bay 1-2 HT 0-1 Stellenbosch FC Stellenbosch FC GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stellenbosch FC
0-1
AWAY Richards Bay
0.46 xG 0.50
69% Ball Possession 31%
6 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
421 Passes 123
83% Pass Accuracy 55%
17 Box Touches 10
32 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Richards Bay edged past Stellenbosch FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stellenbosch FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stellenbosch FC had 69% of the ball to Richards Bay's 31%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.46 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stellenbosch FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stellenbosch FC and 0.83 for Richards Bay.

What was the final score of Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay?

Stellenbosch FC 0-1 Richards Bay in the South Afrika - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stellenbosch FC vs Richards Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stellenbosch FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Stellenbosch FC 45%, draw 30%, Richards Bay 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stellenbosch FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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