Gareji 2-2 Gagra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 20 Sep 2025

Gareji
2-2 HT 2-0
Gagra
📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
38%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.3pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Gagra EU Bookmakers 36%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
0.00/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.97
-100% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gareji
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gagra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
21.05.2025 Gagra Gagra 1-1 HT 0-1 Gareji Gareji GUR
10.04.2025 Gareji Gareji 0-1 HT 0-0 Gagra Gagra GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
2-2
AWAY Gagra
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Gagra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gareji and Gagra shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (31% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gareji had 42% of the ball to Gagra's 58%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gagra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gareji and 1.00 for Gagra.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Gagra?

Gareji 2-2 Gagra in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Gagra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gagra win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gareji 31%, draw 32%, Gagra 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gagra), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gagra) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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