Vitesse 3-1 Helmond Sport — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
4.61
Draw
19%
4.19
Away Pick
64%
1.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.25
Over
62%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.08
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.41
2-3
42%
1.85
4-5
29%
2.68
6+
11%
7.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.2
1/2
4%
19.4
1/X
4%
16.95
X/1
6%
10.9
X/2
20%
4.1
X/X
11%
6.56
2/1
2%
34.5
2/2
40%
1.89
2/X
4%
15.25
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Vitesse The Market 22%
Signal
AWAY Helmond Sport The Market 65%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
0.93 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.98
2.46 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.03
Bad Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Bad
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
10 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25
12 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitesse
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.27 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
294 Passes 269
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
34 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport 3-0 HT 2-0 Vitesse Vitesse HOL2
29.11.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitesse
3 - 1
AWAY Helmond Sport
1.30 xG 2.37
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
217 Passes 402
75% Pass Accuracy 88%
19 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 33
3 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Vitesse vs Helmond Sport
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Vitesse got the better of Helmond Sport 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Helmond Sport at 64% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Vitesse had 38% of the ball to Helmond Sport's 62%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.30 to 2.37 — on chances, Helmond Sport could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitesse and 2.00 for Helmond Sport.

Vitesse vs Helmond Sport Result & Final Score

Vitesse 3 - 1 Helmond Sport in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Vitesse vs Helmond Sport Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 17%, draw 19%, Helmond Sport 64%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Helmond Sport) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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