Helmond Sport 3-0 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Feb 2025

Helmond Sport
3-0 HT 2-0
Vitesse
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Helmond Sport vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.81
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
14%
8.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.03
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
15%
5.27
X/2
11%
6.65
X/X
9%
5.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.0
2/2
18%
4.31
2/X
6%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Helmond Sport v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Helmond Sport EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.34/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.38
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
18.6 Crosses 12.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Helmond Sport vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Helmond Sport
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vitesse
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 2.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 9
254 Passes 311
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
28 Box Touches 43
21 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.11.2024 Vitesse Vitesse 2-1 HT 0-0 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport HOL2

Helmond Sport 3-0 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Helmond Sport
3-0
AWAY Vitesse
2.04 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
284 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 27
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Helmond Sport vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Helmond Sport cruised past Vitesse 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Helmond Sport as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Helmond Sport had 50% of the ball to Vitesse's 50%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 2.04 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Helmond Sport vs Vitesse?

Helmond Sport 3-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Helmond Sport vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Helmond Sport win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Helmond Sport 43%, draw 21%, Vitesse 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Helmond Sport), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Helmond Sport) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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