De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
De Graafschap v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
De Graafschap 5-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap overpowered AZ Alkmaar II 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
By the numbers, AZ Alkmaar II saw more of the ball, 59% to 41%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 3.30 to 0.72.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for De Graafschap against 1.00 for AZ Alkmaar II.
De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
De Graafschap 5 - 1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 68%, draw 17%, AZ Alkmaar II 15%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.