De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
De Graafschap v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
De Graafschap 5-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
De Graafschap swept aside AZ Alkmaar II 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had De Graafschap as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, De Graafschap had 41% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 59%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 3.30 to 0.72.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for De Graafschap and 1.00 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II?
De Graafschap 5-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 52%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar II 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (De Graafschap), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.