AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v De Graafschap — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 0-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-1
De Graafschap
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
0-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
2-1
HT 1-0
De Graafschap
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 De Graafschap — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II and De Graafschap couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 67% of the ball to De Graafschap's 33%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.60 to 1.02.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, De Graafschap led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 1.00 for De Graafschap.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap?
AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 De Graafschap in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs De Graafschap?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 41%, draw 25%, De Graafschap 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AZ Alkmaar II) went the other way.