Utrecht II 0-4 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 23 Sep 2024

Utrecht II
0-4 HT 0-1
Cambuur
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Utrecht II vs Cambuur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
41%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.49
No
52%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.82
6+ Goals
11%
7.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.77 — our 28% vs market 16.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.35
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
11%
12.4
X/1
10%
5.69
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
6.02
X/X
9%
5.45
2/1
5%
24.45
2/2
14%
3.63
2/X
6%
12.45
Value flag · X/2 at 6.02 — our 21% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
41%
Away Win
35%
+5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
63%
-15.5pp
52%
BTTS No
37%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Utrecht II v Cambuur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 39%
-15% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.19/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.24
-41% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
14.7 Crosses 19.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Utrecht II vs Cambuur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Cambuur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.42 xG 1.95
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
243 Passes 333
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 2-4 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
22.09.2023 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-2 HT 2-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
22.02.2021 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-3 HT 0-1 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
25.09.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 5-2 HT 2-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
24.01.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 1-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
25.10.2019 Utrecht II Utrecht II 1-1 HT 0-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2

Utrecht II 0-4 Cambuur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-4
AWAY Cambuur
0.00 xG 2.59
0 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
– Passes 550
– Pass Accuracy 89%
0 Box Touches 35
0 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cambuur swept aside Utrecht II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cambuur as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 0-23, expected goals 0.00 to 2.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Utrecht II and 2.67 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Cambuur?

Utrecht II 0-4 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 34%, draw 26%, Cambuur 41%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cambuur), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cambuur) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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