Telstar 1-3 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 21 Feb 2025

Telstar
1-3 HT 0-1
Excelsior
📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Telstar vs Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.61
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
9%
5.67
X/2
13%
5.75
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.68
2/X
7%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -18%
1.38/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.79
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
20.8 Crosses 19.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Telstar vs Excelsior Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Excelsior
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.15 xG 2.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
329 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.09.2024 Excelsior Excelsior 3-2 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
08.04.2022 Excelsior Excelsior 1-4 HT 1-2 Telstar Telstar HOL2
06.11.2021 Telstar Telstar 2-5 HT 1-3 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
16.04.2021 Telstar Telstar 1-1 HT 1-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
22.09.2020 Excelsior Excelsior 1-2 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
17.01.2020 Excelsior Excelsior 3-3 HT 0-1 Telstar Telstar HOL2

Telstar 1-3 Excelsior — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
1-3
AWAY Excelsior
1.28 xG 1.65
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
307 Passes 306
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior got the better of Telstar 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Excelsior found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Telstar had 52% of the ball to Excelsior's 48%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.28 to 1.65.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Telstar and 2.33 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Excelsior?

Telstar 1-3 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telstar win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Telstar 40%, draw 25%, Excelsior 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Telstar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Telstar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOL2 More Netherlands - Eerste Divisie
21 Feb 2025
22:00 De Graafschap vs AZ Alkmaar II Analysis →
22:00 Helmond Sport vs Vitesse Analysis →
22:00 Roda vs Den Bosch Analysis →
22:00 FC Oss vs Emmen Analysis →