Excelsior vs Telstar Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Excelsior v Telstar — Team-Based Signals
Excelsior vs Telstar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 1-2
Telstar
HOL2
2-5
HT 1-3
Excelsior
HOL2
1-1
HT 1-0
Excelsior
HOL2
1-2
HT 0-0
Telstar
HOL2
3-3
HT 0-1
Telstar
HOL2
3-0
HT 1-0
Excelsior
HOL2
Excelsior 3-2 Telstar — Actual Match Statistics
Excelsior edged past Telstar 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Excelsior had 52% of the ball to Telstar's 48%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.28 to 0.65 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Excelsior's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Telstar led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Excelsior and 2.50 for Telstar.
What was the final score of Excelsior vs Telstar?
Excelsior 3-2 Telstar in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 13/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Excelsior vs Telstar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Excelsior 55%, draw 26%, Telstar 20%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.