Deportivo Recoleta 3-1 Atletico Tembetary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tembetary EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tembetary
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
15.07.2025 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 2-3 HT 1-0 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
16.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary PAR
09.03.2025 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 2-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
3-1
AWAY Atletico Tembetary
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Atletico Tembetary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Recoleta got the better of Atletico Tembetary 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Recoleta as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 48% of the ball to Atletico Tembetary's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Recoleta had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.67 for Atletico Tembetary.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Atletico Tembetary?

Deportivo Recoleta 3-1 Atletico Tembetary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Atletico Tembetary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Recoleta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 49%, draw 29%, Atletico Tembetary 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Recoleta) ✗ Under 2.5
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