Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.24
6+ Goals
11%
20.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.68
1/2
10%
27.0
1/X
7%
14.5
X/1
9%
7.12
X/2
17%
4.49
X/X
15%
4.22
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.8
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.0pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 49%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
1.36/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.18
+31% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -8%
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
232 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
15.5 Crosses 17.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pari Nizhny Novgorod
3W-0D-3L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.59
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
227 Passes 343
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 35
10 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.04.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
03.11.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
19.09.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
31.07.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 4-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUK
28.04.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 5-1 HT 2-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
14.08.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
POST-MATCH Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny edged past Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; FC Akhmat Grozny found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pari Nizhny Novgorod and 1.83 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pari Nizhny Novgorod 30%, draw 29%, FC Akhmat Grozny 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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