Petrzalka 4-0 Puchov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrzalka EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Puchov EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -17%
1.24/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/2.23
-23% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrzalka
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Puchov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.05.2025 Puchov Puchov 3-1 HT 2-1 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
02.11.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-2 HT 0-2 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
24.03.2024 Petrzalka Petrzalka 4-2 HT 2-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
02.09.2023 Puchov Puchov 5-0 HT 3-0 Petrzalka Petrzalka SLVK2
30.10.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 1-0 HT 1-0 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
08.05.2022 Petrzalka Petrzalka 3-1 HT 1-1 Puchov Puchov SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrzalka
4-0
AWAY Puchov
61% Ball Possession 39%
21 Total Shots 4
11 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Petrzalka vs Puchov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrzalka ran out comfortable winners over Puchov 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Petrzalka as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Petrzalka had 61% of the ball to Puchov's 39%, shots finished 21-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Petrzalka and 2.17 for Puchov.

What was the final score of Petrzalka vs Puchov?

Petrzalka 4-0 Puchov in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrzalka vs Puchov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrzalka win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Petrzalka 44%, draw 22%, Puchov 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrzalka), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrzalka) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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