Domzale 1-3 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
2.73
6+ Goals
10%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
+0.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 66%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.04/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.40
+0% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +146%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Koper
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2025 Koper Koper 3-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
08.03.2025 Domzale Domzale 2-3 HT 1-2 Koper Koper SLVN
09.11.2024 Koper Koper 4-0 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
24.08.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-3 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
18.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-0 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.11.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
1-3
AWAY Koper
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper beat Domzale 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Koper as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Domzale had 42% of the ball to Koper's 58%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Koper led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Domzale and 2.17 for Koper.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Koper?

Domzale 1-3 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Domzale 18%, draw 22%, Koper 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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