Torque 1-0 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+2.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.2pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torque EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.45/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.15
-10% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torque
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cerro Largo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.03.2025 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-0 Torque Torque URU
04.11.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
28.03.2023 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
31.07.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 0-2 Torque Torque URU
05.02.2022 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
29.11.2021 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torque
1-0
AWAY Cerro Largo
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Torque vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torque nicked a narrow win over Cerro Largo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Torque as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Torque had 56% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 44%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torque had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Torque and 1.17 for Cerro Largo.

What was the final score of Torque vs Cerro Largo?

Torque 1-0 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torque vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torque win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Torque 48%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torque), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torque) ✓ Under 2.5
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