Cerro Largo 1-1 Torque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
37%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Torque EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.23/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.40
+3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Largo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Torque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
28.03.2023 Torque Torque 1-2 HT 1-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
31.07.2022 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-2 HT 0-2 Torque Torque URU
05.02.2022 Torque Torque 1-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
29.11.2021 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo 1-1 HT 0-1 Torque Torque URU
15.08.2021 Torque Torque 3-0 HT 2-0 Cerro Largo Cerro Largo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Largo
1-1
AWAY Torque
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cerro Largo vs Torque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo and Torque shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Largo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cerro Largo had 47% of the ball to Torque's 53%, shots finished 10-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Torque led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro Largo and 1.67 for Torque.

What was the final score of Cerro Largo vs Torque?

Cerro Largo 1-1 Torque in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Largo vs Torque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Largo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerro Largo 43%, draw 28%, Torque 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Largo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Largo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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26 Mar 2025
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