Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 CA River Plate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.6
Over 2.5
33%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
51%
-11.2pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
67%
Under 2.5
59%
+8.1pp
33%
Over 2.5
41%
-8.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.9pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY CA River Plate EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.28/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.26
-9% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY CA River Plate
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-0 HT 1-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
29.07.2024 CA River Plate CA River Plate 2-2 HT 0-2 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
03.09.2023 CA River Plate CA River Plate 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
19.02.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
18.09.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 HT 1-1 CA River Plate CA River Plate URU
13.09.2015 CA River Plate CA River Plate 3-1 HT 2-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-0
AWAY CA River Plate
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs CA River Plate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo nicked a narrow win over CA River Plate 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Racing Club Montevideo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 55% of the ball to CA River Plate's 45%, shots finished 9-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 1.00 for CA River Plate.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs CA River Plate?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 CA River Plate in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs CA River Plate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 40%, draw 31%, CA River Plate 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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