Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 Nacional de Football — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 26 Mar 2025

📅26/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional de Football EU Bookmakers 50%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -2%
1.15/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.12
+2% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
285 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Nacional de Football
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
09.09.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
15.06.2024 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
25.02.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
20.08.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-0 HT 0-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
23.06.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-0 HT 1-0 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football URU
06.02.2023 Nacional de Football Nacional de Football 2-1 HT 2-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
2-2
AWAY Nacional de Football
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and Nacional de Football couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nacional de Football at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 52% of the ball to Nacional de Football's 48%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional de Football led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 1.00 for Nacional de Football.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-2 Nacional de Football in the Uruguay - Premier League on 26/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Nacional de Football?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional de Football win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 30%, draw 25%, Nacional de Football 45%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nacional de Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional de Football) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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