Rayo Zuliano 3-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Zuliano EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.48/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.19
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.1 Crosses 15.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Zuliano
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Monagas
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.96 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
227 Passes 278
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Monagas Monagas 3-2 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
04.09.2024 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-2 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
18.03.2024 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
03.07.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-3 HT 1-1 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano VEN
13.05.2023 Rayo Zuliano Rayo Zuliano 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Zuliano
3-1
AWAY Monagas
0.82 xG 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
117 Passes 297
65% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Zuliano saw off Monagas 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Monagas at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rayo Zuliano had 34% of the ball to Monagas's 66%, shots finished 15-22, expected goals 0.82 to 1.75 — the balance of chances actually favoured Monagas.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Rayo Zuliano and 1.60 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas?

Rayo Zuliano 3-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Zuliano 31%, draw 29%, Monagas 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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