Panserraikos 1-1 Atromitos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
22%
2.94
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.68
Over 2.5
36%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.69
4-5 Goals
16%
3.89
6+ Goals
7%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 35% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.76
1/2
10%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
6.59
X/2
17%
5.27
X/X
9%
3.85
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.35
2/X
7%
11.9
Value flag · X/1 at 6.59 — our 20% vs market 11.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.8pp
21%
Draw
31%
-9.2pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
56%
+8.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
44%
-8.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panserraikos EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Atromitos EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +26%
1.58/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.11
+45% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.5 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panserraikos
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Atromitos
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.89 xG 0.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
293 Passes 311
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2025 Atromitos Atromitos 1-0 HT 0-0 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
09.11.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 2-3 HT 1-3 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
06.04.2024 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
24.02.2024 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-0 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
11.11.2023 Atromitos Atromitos 1-1 HT 0-1 Panserraikos Panserraikos YUN
23.01.2011 Panserraikos Panserraikos 0-1 HT 0-0 Atromitos Atromitos YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panserraikos
1-1
AWAY Atromitos
0.99 xG 0.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
263 Passes 348
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 22
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panserraikos vs Atromitos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panserraikos and Atromitos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 21% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Panserraikos had 43% of the ball to Atromitos's 57%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 0.99 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atromitos led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Panserraikos and 1.17 for Atromitos.

What was the final score of Panserraikos vs Atromitos?

Panserraikos 1-1 Atromitos in the Greece - Super League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panserraikos vs Atromitos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atromitos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Panserraikos 37%, draw 21%, Atromitos 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atromitos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atromitos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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