Kifisia 0-1 Aris Saloniki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.4
6+ Goals
10%
24.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.02
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
4%
16.05
X/1
7%
8.07
X/2
15%
4.1
X/X
24%
4.09
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.52
2/X
4%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.0pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.0pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kifisia EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aris Saloniki EU Bookmakers 54%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.01/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.00
-42% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
21.2 Crosses 15.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kifisia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 0.94
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
220 Passes 360
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 4
27.01.2024 Kifisia Kifisia 0-1 HT 0-1 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki YUN
01.10.2023 Aris Saloniki Aris Saloniki 1-1 HT 1-0 Kifisia Kifisia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kifisia
0-1
AWAY Aris Saloniki
0.27 xG 1.21
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 15
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
122 Passes 438
64% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aris Saloniki edged past Kifisia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aris Saloniki as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kifisia had 29% of the ball to Aris Saloniki's 71%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.27 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aris Saloniki led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kifisia and 1.00 for Aris Saloniki.

What was the final score of Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki?

Kifisia 0-1 Aris Saloniki in the Greece - Super League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aris Saloniki win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kifisia 24%, draw 33%, Aris Saloniki 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aris Saloniki), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aris Saloniki) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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