Volos NFC 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 20 Sep 2025

📅20/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.11
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.7
4-5 Goals
16%
4.39
6+ Goals
8%
24.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 37% vs market 33.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.89
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
14%
4.48
X/2
7%
7.05
X/X
18%
3.93
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
14%
5.79
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.4pp
33%
Draw
29%
+3.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.9pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
0.99/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.14
-10% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.8 Crosses 17.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.04 xG 0.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
297 Passes 372
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Volos NFC Volos NFC 2-1 HT 0-0 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
25.08.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
16.03.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
14.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
24.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
07.08.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
1.91 xG 1.39
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
269 Passes 287
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC nicked a narrow win over Asteras Tripolis 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Volos NFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volos NFC had 48% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 52%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.91 to 1.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Volos NFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Volos NFC and 0.83 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs Asteras Tripolis?

Volos NFC 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 20/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 39%, draw 33%, Asteras Tripolis 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volos NFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
YUN More Greece - Super League
20 Sep 2025
18:00 Panserraikos vs Atromitos Analysis →
18:00 Kifisia vs Aris Saloniki Analysis →
20:30 PAOK vs Panaitolikos Analysis →