Volos NFC 2-1 Asteras Tripolis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
33%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.95
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
9%
4.42
X/2
8%
7.28
X/X
18%
3.82
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
18%
5.98
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.5pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
25%
+7.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.1pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volos NFC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Asteras Tripolis EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.03/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
+3% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
24.4 Crosses 16.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volos NFC
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 1.04
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-1 HT 0-1 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
16.03.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-2 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
14.01.2024 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 1-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
24.09.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-2 HT 0-2 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis YUN
07.08.2023 Volos NFC Volos NFC 1-1 HT 0-1 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis HAZ
21.12.2022 Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 0-0 HT 0-0 Volos NFC Volos NFC YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volos NFC
2-1
AWAY Asteras Tripolis
0.60 xG 0.92
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
336 Passes 361
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
2 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volos NFC vs Asteras Tripolis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volos NFC squeezed past Asteras Tripolis 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Volos NFC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Volos NFC had 48% of the ball to Asteras Tripolis's 52%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.60 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Volos NFC and 0.67 for Asteras Tripolis.

What was the final score of Volos NFC vs Asteras Tripolis?

Volos NFC 2-1 Asteras Tripolis in the Greece - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volos NFC vs Asteras Tripolis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volos NFC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Volos NFC 36%, draw 32%, Asteras Tripolis 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Volos NFC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Volos NFC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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