Lamia 0-1 AEK Atina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Greece - Super League, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
7.95
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
58%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.29
No
50%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
26%
3.31
6+ Goals
11%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
17.2
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
25.5
X/1
5%
19.3
X/2
12%
3.27
X/X
15%
6.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
39%
1.59
2/X
6%
24.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
10%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.6pp
58%
Away Win
71%
-13.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.1pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lamia EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY AEK Atina EU Bookmakers 75%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
0.62/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/0.71
-27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
237 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
9.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 34.0
11.5 Crosses 25.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lamia
0W-1D-5L
AWAY AEK Atina
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.24 xG 2.01
30% Ball Possession 70%
4 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
181 Passes 514
66% Pass Accuracy 86%
7 Box Touches 35
8 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.08.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 1-1 HT 0-1 Lamia Lamia YUN
19.05.2024 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
10.03.2024 Lamia Lamia 0-4 HT 0-1 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
24.02.2024 Lamia Lamia 1-3 HT 0-2 AEK Atina AEK Atina YUN
12.11.2023 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 2-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
21.12.2022 AEK Atina AEK Atina 3-0 HT 0-0 Lamia Lamia YUN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lamia
0-1
AWAY AEK Atina
0.12 xG 1.56
23% Ball Possession 77%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
94 Passes 545
52% Pass Accuracy 89%
6 Box Touches 33
7 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lamia vs AEK Atina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AEK Atina squeezed past Lamia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AEK Atina as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lamia had 23% of the ball to AEK Atina's 77%, shots finished 3-15, expected goals 0.12 to 1.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold AEK Atina's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AEK Atina led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Lamia and 2.83 for AEK Atina.

What was the final score of Lamia vs AEK Atina?

Lamia 0-1 AEK Atina in the Greece - Super League on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lamia vs AEK Atina?

Before kick-off our model rated an AEK Atina win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lamia 15%, draw 27%, AEK Atina 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AEK Atina) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AEK Atina) ✗ Over 2.5
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