Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.81
Away
15%
5.18
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasco da Gama
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Coritiba
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.84
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2026 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 0-1 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
22.09.2023 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 5-1 HT 2-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
12.05.2023 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR1
16.10.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 2-1 HT 1-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
14.07.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 1-1 HT 0-0 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama BR2
17.01.2021 Vasco da Gama Vasco da Gama 0-1 HT 0-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
PREVIEW Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Our model makes Vasco da Gama clear favourites here — the kind of home-and-form edge that usually tells.

One side has usually been blanked in Vasco da Gama's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vasco da Gama have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Vasco da Gama and 1.00 for Coritiba.

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba Kick-off Time

Vasco da Gama play Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/09/2026, kick-off 02:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba is a Vasco da Gama win at about 62% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Vasco da Gama 62%, draw 22%, Coritiba 15%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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