Gremio vs Palmeiras Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Brazil - Serie A, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.44
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
51%
1.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet. This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gremio
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Palmeiras
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
242 Passes 397
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2026 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
26.11.2025 Gremio Gremio 3-2 HT 1-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
27.07.2025 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
09.11.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Gremio Gremio BR1
05.07.2024 Gremio Gremio 2-2 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
22.09.2023 Gremio Gremio 1-0 HT 1-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BR1
PREVIEW Gremio vs Palmeiras
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Palmeiras in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Gremio's recent home league games have rarely been one-way — both sides scored in 5 of the last 5.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras lead the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gremio and 1.33 for Palmeiras.

Gremio vs Palmeiras Kick-off Time

Gremio play Palmeiras in the Brazil - Serie A on 20/09/2026, kick-off 17:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Gremio vs Palmeiras Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Gremio vs Palmeiras is an Palmeiras win at about 51% probability, priced 1.9 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Gremio 22%, draw 27%, Palmeiras 51%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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