Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Poland - 1st Division, 20 Sep 2026

📅20/09/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 🔒 ?-? 2nd Score 🔒 ?-?
See Scores
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
🔒 Free account Register
Both Teams to Score
🔒 Free account Register
Total Goals
🔒 Free account Register
Half Time / Full Time
🔒 Free account Register
🔒
Unlock the full board Create a free account and every market opens for every match — no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.10.2024 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 2-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
06.09.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-2 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
25.07.2015 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 4-1 HT 1-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POLK
17.05.2015 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 4-4 HT 2-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
18.10.2014 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 1-0 HT 1-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
PREVIEW Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

There's a lean to Arka Gdynia in the data, with more than enough uncertainty to keep this interesting.

Pogon Siedlce have scored in every one of their last 5 home league games; meanwhile, results have deserted Arka Gdynia on their travels: 4 defeats in the last 5 league games.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia lead the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Pogon Siedlce against 2.33 for Arka Gdynia.

Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Kick-off Time

Pogon Siedlce play Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 20/09/2026, kick-off 15:30 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia is an Arka Gdynia win at about 46% probability, priced 2.03 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Pogon Siedlce 25%, draw 28%, Arka Gdynia 46%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
20 Sep 2026
18:30 Podbeskidzie Bielsko vs Unia Skierniewice Analysis →