Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Siedlce v Arka Gdynia — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Arka Gdynia
POL1
4-1
HT 1-1
Pogon Siedlce
POLK
4-4
HT 2-1
Arka Gdynia
POL1
1-0
HT 1-0
Pogon Siedlce
POL1
Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Arka Gdynia — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Siedlce and Arka Gdynia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Arka Gdynia at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pogon Siedlce had 52% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 48%, shots finished 9-10.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Pogon Siedlce and 2.60 for Arka Gdynia.
What was the final score of Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Pogon Siedlce 1-1 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 23%, draw 21%, Arka Gdynia 56%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.