Tychy 71 1-1 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tychy 71 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.39/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.11
-9% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tychy 71
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
08.12.2023 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 1-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
22.07.2023 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 2-3 HT 2-1 Tychy 71 Tychy 71 POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tychy 71
1-1
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tychy 71 vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tychy 71 and Polonia Warszawa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tychy 71 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Tychy 71 had 52% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 48%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tychy 71 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tychy 71 and 1.33 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Tychy 71 vs Polonia Warszawa?

Tychy 71 1-1 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tychy 71 vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tychy 71 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tychy 71 43%, draw 23%, Polonia Warszawa 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tychy 71), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tychy 71) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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