Warta Poznan 0-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 29% vs market 23.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 29%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.44/0.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.83
-12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
259 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
19.10.2024 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Kotwica Kolobrzeg
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg nicked a narrow win over Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Kotwica Kolobrzeg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 45% of the ball to Kotwica Kolobrzeg's 55%, shots finished 14-17.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg in the Poland - 1st Division on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warta Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 40%, draw 26%, Kotwica Kolobrzeg 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Warta Poznan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Warta Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
26 Apr 2025
18:30 Tychy 71 vs Polonia Warszawa Analysis →
20:30 Pogon Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Analysis →