Liverpool (K) 1-1 Crystal Palace (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.29
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.43
Over 2.5
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
3%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-13.0pp
26%
Draw
16%
+9.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool (K) EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace (K) EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +16%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
Crosses 16.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool (K)
1-1
AWAY Crystal Palace (K)
1.49 xG 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
313 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Liverpool (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool (K) and Crystal Palace (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Liverpool (K) at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool (K) had 54% of the ball to Crystal Palace (K)'s 46%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.49 to 2.33.

What was the final score of Liverpool (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?

Liverpool (K) 1-1 Crystal Palace (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Liverpool (K) 60%, draw 26%, Crystal Palace (K) 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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