Hammarby Talang 3-3 FBK Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
38%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-15.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
22%
+15.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.3pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY FBK Karlstad EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.96/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.59
+4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FBK Karlstad
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.05.2024 FBK Karlstad FBK Karlstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
3-3
AWAY FBK Karlstad
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs FBK Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang and FBK Karlstad shared the points in a 3-3 draw. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 22% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 55% of the ball to FBK Karlstad's 45%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs FBK Karlstad?

Hammarby Talang 3-3 FBK Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs FBK Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 40%, draw 22%, FBK Karlstad 38%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby Talang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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