Onsala 2-3 Tvaaker — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.13
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
47%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.0
Over 2.5
45%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-8.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.1pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onsala EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 60%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.36/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.79
+10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
239 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Onsala
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tvaaker
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
20.06.2024 Tvaaker Tvaaker 2-1 HT 0-1 Onsala Onsala İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Onsala
2-3
AWAY Tvaaker
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Onsala vs Tvaaker
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker nicked a narrow win over Onsala 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tvaaker as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Onsala had 62% of the ball to Tvaaker's 38%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of Onsala vs Tvaaker?

Onsala 2-3 Tvaaker in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onsala vs Tvaaker?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tvaaker win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Onsala 30%, draw 24%, Tvaaker 47%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tvaaker) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tvaaker) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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