Lunds BK 4-2 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lunds BK EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
2.38/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.01
+13% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
472 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lunds BK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Ljungskile
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-4 HT 0-2 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
10.09.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 0-3 HT 0-2 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
10.06.2023 Lunds BK Lunds BK 4-0 HT 3-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
21.05.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-1 HT 1-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
18.09.2021 Lunds BK Lunds BK 0-2 HT 0-2 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
08.05.2021 Ljungskile Ljungskile 4-0 HT 2-0 Lunds BK Lunds BK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lunds BK
4-2
AWAY Ljungskile
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Lunds BK vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lunds BK saw off Ljungskile 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lunds BK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lunds BK had 53% of the ball to Ljungskile's 47%, shots finished 22-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lunds BK and 1.33 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of Lunds BK vs Ljungskile?

Lunds BK 4-2 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lunds BK vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lunds BK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Lunds BK 56%, draw 23%, Ljungskile 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lunds BK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lunds BK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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