Cadiz 0-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Oct 2024

Cadiz
0-1
Racing Santander
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Cadiz vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.91
Over 2.5
42%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 30% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.04
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
11%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.91
X/2
12%
6.58
X/X
16%
4.63
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
12%
4.6
2/X
6%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.5pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cadiz v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cadiz EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +33%
1.38/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.24
-14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
271 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
25.4 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cadiz vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cadiz
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.44 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
260 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.01.2020 Cadiz Cadiz 1-0 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
06.09.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-2 HT 0-1 Cadiz Cadiz İS2
28.01.2006 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS1
11.09.2005 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1

Cadiz 0-1 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cadiz
0-1
AWAY Racing Santander
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
183 Passes 261
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Cadiz vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander nicked a narrow win over Cadiz 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Racing Santander made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Cadiz had 44% of the ball to Racing Santander's 56%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cadiz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Cadiz and 0.50 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Cadiz vs Racing Santander?

Cadiz 0-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cadiz vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cadiz win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Cadiz 34%, draw 33%, Racing Santander 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cadiz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cadiz) ✓ Under 2.5
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