Elche 2-1 Sporting Gijon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.67
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
8%
4.43
X/2
11%
6.71
X/X
15%
3.94
2/1
10%
30.0
2/2
14%
5.41
2/X
6%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.1pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elche EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.35
-14% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
26.4 Crosses 16.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elche
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting Gijon
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.98 xG 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
342 Passes 317
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2024 Elche Elche 2-1 HT 2-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
04.10.2023 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 2-0 HT 2-0 Elche Elche İS2
14.01.2020 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
19.10.2019 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
28.04.2019 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-1 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
09.12.2018 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elche
2-1
AWAY Sporting Gijon
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 433
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Elche vs Sporting Gijon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elche squeezed past Sporting Gijon 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Elche had 46% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 54%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Elche and 1.00 for Sporting Gijon.

What was the final score of Elche vs Sporting Gijon?

Elche 2-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elche vs Sporting Gijon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elche 41%, draw 29%, Sporting Gijon 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elche) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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