Elche vs Sporting Gijon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Elche v Sporting Gijon — Team-Based Signals
Elche vs Sporting Gijon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Elche
İS2
1-0
HT 0-0
Elche
İS2
0-1
HT 0-1
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Elche
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
0-2
HT 0-1
Elche
İS2
Elche 2-1 Sporting Gijon — Actual Match Statistics
Elche squeezed past Sporting Gijon 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Elche as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Elche had 41% of the ball to Sporting Gijon's 59%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.87 to 0.57.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Elche and 0.83 for Sporting Gijon.
What was the final score of Elche vs Sporting Gijon?
Elche 2-1 Sporting Gijon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Elche vs Sporting Gijon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elche 47%, draw 24%, Sporting Gijon 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elche) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.