Huesca 1-2 Real Zaragoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

Huesca
1-2 HT 1-2
Real Zaragoza
📅20/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Huesca vs Real Zaragoza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.61
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
75%
1.25
Over 2.5
25%
3.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
27%
2.67
No
73%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
50%
1.65
2-3 Goals
36%
2.02
4-5 Goals
9%
9.95
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.72
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.15
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.58
X/2
12%
6.41
X/X
20%
2.68
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
8%
5.93
2/X
6%
16.65
Value flag · X/1 at 4.58 — our 24% vs market 16.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.9pp
33%
Draw
35%
-2.3pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.6pp
75%
Under 2.5
76%
-1.5pp
25%
Over 2.5
24%
+1.5pp
27%
BTTS Yes
33%
-5.9pp
73%
BTTS No
67%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Huesca v Real Zaragoza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Huesca EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Zaragoza EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
1.20/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.10
+9% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.3 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Huesca vs Real Zaragoza Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Huesca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.87 xG 0.89
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
272 Passes 309
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.11.2023 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-2 HT 0-1 Huesca Huesca İS2
19.03.2023 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
10.12.2022 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 3-0 HT 2-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
17.04.2022 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza İS2
11.10.2021 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
29.06.2020 Real Zaragoza Real Zaragoza 0-1 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2

Huesca 1-2 Real Zaragoza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Huesca
1-2
AWAY Real Zaragoza
0.85 xG 1.03
62% Ball Possession 38%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
373 Passes 205
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 16
30 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Huesca vs Real Zaragoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Zaragoza squeezed past Huesca 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Huesca at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (75%), no to both teams scoring (73%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Huesca had 62% of the ball to Real Zaragoza's 38%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.85 to 1.03.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Huesca and 0.83 for Real Zaragoza.

What was the final score of Huesca vs Real Zaragoza?

Huesca 1-2 Real Zaragoza in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Huesca vs Real Zaragoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Huesca win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Huesca 44%, draw 33%, Real Zaragoza 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Huesca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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