Amorebieta 0-3 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.54
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.35
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
8%
14.9
X/1
9%
6.37
X/2
15%
4.47
X/X
15%
3.59
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.25
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.3pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amorebieta EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
0.94/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.10
-1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +0%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.0 Crosses 20.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amorebieta
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Valladolid
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.55 xG 1.60
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
171 Passes 464
64% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 2-1 HT 0-1 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
27.02.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 5-1 HT 2-0 Amorebieta Amorebieta İS2
03.11.2021 Amorebieta Amorebieta 4-1 HT 3-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amorebieta
0-3
AWAY Valladolid
0.24 xG 1.33
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
254 Passes 513
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amorebieta vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valladolid swept aside Amorebieta 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 36% — and on the day Valladolid made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Amorebieta had 36% of the ball to Valladolid's 64%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.24 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Amorebieta and 2.67 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Amorebieta vs Valladolid?

Amorebieta 0-3 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amorebieta vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valladolid win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Amorebieta 34%, draw 30%, Valladolid 36%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valladolid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valladolid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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