Villarreal II 1-0 Racing Ferrol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.52
6+ Goals
8%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.81
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.55
X/1
12%
5.25
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
15%
3.94
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
18%
4.07
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Ferrol EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.40/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.86
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.1 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Ferrol
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.65 xG 2.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 13
324 Passes 397
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 39
6 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol 2-2 HT 0-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-0
AWAY Racing Ferrol
1.55 xG 1.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
321 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Racing Ferrol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II nicked a narrow win over Racing Ferrol 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day Villarreal II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Villarreal II had 46% of the ball to Racing Ferrol's 54%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.55 to 1.01.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Racing Ferrol?

Villarreal II 1-0 Racing Ferrol in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Racing Ferrol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 36%, draw 29%, Racing Ferrol 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Villarreal II), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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